The Wages of Election Modeling: 538 vs. DDHQ
Putting forecasters to the test by simulating the gains (or losses) you'd make trading their recommendations on Polymarket every day
This is our 2nd forecaster match-up. See the original post in the series for more context on what’s going on here and the results of Nate Silver vs. Lichtman’s 13 Keys.
The Rules
Forecasters start with…
