The Supercycle

The Supercycle

The Wages of Election Modeling: Harry Crane vs. Super Model

Putting forecasters to the test by simulating the gains (or losses) you'd make trading their recommendations on Polymarket every day

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Flip Pidot
Nov 22, 2024
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This is our 4th forecaster match-up. See the original post in the series for more context on what’s going on here.

Previous match-ups:

  • Nate Silver vs. Lichtman’s 13 Keys

  • 538 vs. DDHQ

  • Manifold vs. Metacul…

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