Featuring Mick Bransfield.
We discuss how the CFTC is handling lawsuits against states challenging their authority to regulate derivatives exchanges and how a changing CFTC could impact the industry in the future. How hard is it to put the genie back in the bottle? Markets predict a democratic president will be inaugurated in January 2029. What does that mean for Designated Contract Markets such as KalshiEX?
Episode #5 of The Supercycle podcast. The Supercycle will be live at Manifest to interview Robin Hanson. Hope to see you there!
Mentioned links:
Eli on the Minnesota bill:
Mick’s website: https://mickbransfield.com
Mick’s X: @MickBransfield
Legislation Tracker: https://mickbransfield.com/2026/02/28/prediction-market-2026-legislation-tracker/
Litigation Tracker: https://mickbransfield.com/2025/08/11/summary-of-legal-actions-involving-kalshis-sports-event-contracts/
Database of Prediction Market Projects: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vGjnJPxdnBKwag3Q9Uy_LdVAARaSHrI5CWiYKH7dV9s/edit?gid=1671608647#gid=1671608647
