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Mick Bransfield on Litigation, Legislation, and the Future of Prediction Markets in the US
Episode #5 of the Supercycle podcast.
Jun 3
•
Eli Goldfine
and
Flip Pidot
5
2
2
45:32
May 2026
Texas Senate
The finest indicator of who'll win the 2026 Senate race in Texas - Democratic Rep. James Talarico or Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton.
May 31
•
Flip Pidot
4
California Gubernatorial Primary
The finest indicator of who'll advance to the general election.
May 26
•
Flip Pidot
5
Breaking: Minnesota Bans Event Contracts
A questionably-worded bill draws attention from prediction market advocates and critics alike.
May 23
•
Eli Goldfine
5
Predictive Accuracy Is Not Driven by Insiders
Recorded from Zug, Switzerland in collaboration with Elastics.
May 21
•
Eli Goldfine
5
1
12:10
John Aristotle Philips on Atomic Bombs, the CFTC, and the Value of Information
Episode #4 of the Supercycle podcast.
May 12
•
Eli Goldfine
and
Flip Pidot
3
37:05
Guest Post: The Fear-Greed Metagame
A Manifold trader reveals how emotions power trading.
May 10
1
Manifold: Death Markets, Manipulation, Shenanigans
Episode #3 of The Supercycle podcast.
May 4
•
Eli Goldfine
6
5
38:44
April 2026
Harry Crane on Insider Trading, Market Microstructure, and Futarchy
Episode #2 of The Supercycle podcast.
Apr 27
•
Eli Goldfine
,
Flip Pidot
, and
Harry Crane
4
45:26
More Perfect Union, Less Perfect Facts
An "investigation" into Polymarket is riddled with false info.
Apr 25
•
Eli Goldfine
5
Metaculus Forecasters Panel
Ep. 1 of The Supercycle Podcast
Apr 20
•
Eli Goldfine
8
40:39
The Future of Prediction Market Media
Bayesian Supercycle is now The Supercycle.
Published on Bayesian Supercycle
•
Apr 17
9
1
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