The Supercycle

Metaculus Forecasters Panel

Ep. 1 of The Supercycle Podcast

1 hr ago • Eli Goldfine

2

40:39

The Future of Prediction Market Media

Bayesian Supercycle is now The Supercycle.

Published on Bayesian Supercycle • Apr 17

July 2025

NYC Mayor

The finest indicator of who'll win 2025 New York mayoral election

Jul 7, 2025 • Supercycle

2

June 2025

NYC Democratic Mayoral Nominee

The finest indicator of who'll win the party's ranked-choice primary in 2025

Jun 11, 2025 • Supercycle

1

1

NBA Championship

The finest indicator of who'll win the 2025 NBA Finals

Jun 4, 2025 • Supercycle

1

1

April 2025

Recession Tracker

The finest indicator of U.S. GDP shrinkage & growth

Apr 11, 2025

3

Next Canadian Prime Minister

The finest indicator of who'll win the 2025 Canadian Federal Election

Apr 10, 2025

1

March 2025

RIP 538

Let's see if we can't resurrect a few bits of it

Mar 6, 2025 • Supercycle

3

1

February 2025

Which Market Best Predicted the Big Game

A story in eight charts

Feb 21, 2025 • Supercycle

4

Big Game Post-Mortem Preview Poll

Which market had the sharpest pricing going into and during the NFL championship?

Feb 13, 2025 • Supercycle

January 2025

The Big Game

The finest indicator of who'll win that matchup at the Superdome on February 9

Jan 18, 2025 • Supercycle

3

December 2024

Speaker of the House

The finest indicator of who'll be the 1st elected Speaker of the 119th Congress

Dec 19, 2024 • Supercycle

2