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John Aristotle Philips on Atomic Bombs, the CFTC, and the Value of Information
Episode #4 of the Supercycle podcast.
May 12
•
Eli Goldfine
and
Flip Pidot
2
37:05
Guest Post: The Fear-Greed Metagame
A Manifold trader reveals how emotions power trading.
May 10
1
Manifold: Death Markets, Manipulation, Shenanigans
Episode #3 of The Supercycle podcast.
May 4
•
Eli Goldfine
5
4
38:44
April 2026
Harry Crane on Insider Trading, Market Microstructure, and Futarchy
Episode #2 of The Supercycle podcast.
Apr 27
•
Eli Goldfine
,
Flip Pidot
, and
Harry Crane
3
45:26
More Perfect Union, Less Perfect Facts
An "investigation" into Polymarket is riddled with false info.
Apr 25
•
Eli Goldfine
5
Metaculus Forecasters Panel
Ep. 1 of The Supercycle Podcast
Apr 20
•
Eli Goldfine
7
40:39
The Future of Prediction Market Media
Bayesian Supercycle is now The Supercycle.
Published on Bayesian Supercycle
•
Apr 17
8
1
Interview with Mikhail Samin
Get full access to Bayesian Supercycle at itsnotgambling.substack.com/subscribe
Apr 16
•
Eli Goldfine
47:50
Polyfactual on Bayesian Supercycle
Get full access to Bayesian Supercycle at itsnotgambling.substack.com/subscribe
Apr 5
•
Eli Goldfine
48:59
Fun Prediction Markets
META: LIVE interview tomorrow with Polyfactual at 10am
Apr 4
•
Eli Goldfine
March 2026
Interview with Adhi Rajaprabhakaran and Noah Zingler-Sternig
Get full access to Bayesian Supercycle at itsnotgambling.substack.com/subscribe
Mar 28
•
Eli Goldfine
1:11:01
Bayesian Supercycle Interview w/Flip Pidot
Get full access to Bayesian Supercycle at itsnotgambling.substack.com/subscribe
Mar 26
•
Eli Goldfine
and
Flip Pidot
1:04:16
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